(978) 927-9102

A Less Optimistic View on Housing

housing

While there have been a substantial number of positive predictions on the housing market, with many commentators saying the bottom is in, Christopher Whalen of the Institutional Risk Analyst presents a less optimistic viewpoint of the housing market and recovery in a recent article entitled, "Reality Check: Is the US Housing Market Really Recovering?"

He writes, "One of the more amusing and even troubling developments in recent weeks is the general consensus that the housing market is recovering. Whether you are a consumer, a media maven or merely a lowly investor, the common view now seems to be that housing is getting ready to bounce back to 2005 levels. Would that it was true."

His viewpoint on why this will not be the case is as follows:

- a reduced number of possible home buyers, who can afford to buy and actually live in a home (predicts a decline of 10-15% in number of available home buyers)

- private equity investors have been purchasing excess housing inventory at the moment, hoping to rent homes.

- available credit to home buyers is scarce. Most buyers need minimum FICO score of 740 to qualify for mortgages, a high bar. 

- Non-conforming loan market is largely non-existent.

- Foreclosure backlog will take years to work 

- Certain states, among them California, Connecticut, and Massachusetts, are crafting strict "consumer protection" laws that make it difficult, if not impossible, for banks to foreclose. This will discourage private investors from proving non-conforming loans in these states.through. In Northeast, including Massachusetts, the backlog is higher than the national average.

Check out the full article:

http://us1.institutionalriskanalytics.com/pub/IRAMain.asp


Rising Prices to Break the Cycle of Foreclosure?

An important element in an ongoing cycle of foreclosures is that the prices of property keeps dropping. With property prices rising in all significant real estate pricing indexes, the KCM Blog has created an infographic where they suggest that the cycle may be getting turned around at last:

Home Sale Statistics in the United States

Here is an infographic created by KCM Blog, which is based upon NAR’s September Existing Home Sales Report:

Home Sale Stats

Harvard Predicts Housing Bottom May Be Near at Hand

According to researchers at Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies, a recent uptick in home sales as well as low inventory of available homes for sale points to a possible housing bottom nationwide, but particularly in the Boston area. Last year, the same researchers correctly predicted that the housing market would remain "sluggish" through 2011.

Read the full article: 

http://www.boston.com/realestate/news/articles/2012/06/14/housing_prices_may_soon_start_to_increase/


iMax Introduces New Distressed Property Market Intelligence Charts

iMaxWebSolutions has introduced 12 new distressed property interactive charts to our industry leading suite of Market Intelligence Reports and Charts.

The new real estate market intelligence charts are:

Active: Foreclosed Units 

Active: Foreclosed Units Ratio 

Active: Short Sale Units

Active: Short Sale Units Ratio

Active: Distressed Units

Active: Distressed Units Ratio

Sold: Foreclosed Units

Sold: Foreclosed Units Ratio

Sold: Short Sale Units

Sold: Short Sale Units Ratio

Sold: Distressed Units

Sold: Distressed Units Ratio
 

"You have to have a much more data driven presentation nowadays. Sellers are more sophisticated than they used to be; they want the hard facts. We have this information with iMax - to not use this data is a large mistake in my opinion." 
-- Tom Carroll, RE/MAX Partners

iMax’s Market Intelligence Reports and Professional CMA Software are specifically designed to provide you with unparalleled market data and customized reporting to be used in listing and marketing presentations to differentiate your expertise and support your pricing recommendations. Learn More about iMax Reports